Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 7.856345 8.975311 10.208157 11.669069 13.355402 15.243664 17.522284
2025-08-31 6.188437 7.602587 9.284952 11.440618 14.139106 17.418033 21.723448
2025-09-07 5.489737 7.106755 9.140342 11.899152 15.565277 20.298889 26.921143
2025-09-14 4.879128 6.589251 8.838982 12.036671 16.499850 22.559533 31.497144
2025-09-21 4.355548 6.098647 8.481943 12.008345 17.144242 24.429364 35.684517
2025-09-28 3.901761 5.639956 8.098875 11.869234 17.572757 25.986800 39.541200
2025-10-05 3.674522 5.472560 8.098935 12.264081 18.795862 28.799199 45.573217
2025-10-12 3.456756 5.291163 8.050679 12.565176 19.885013 31.492465 51.700343
2025-10-19 3.297115 5.178687 8.088873 12.992252 21.199080 34.653294 58.935310
2025-10-26 2.994782 4.811082 7.689475 12.666549 21.233298 35.697388 62.651902
2025-11-02 2.761841 4.533316 7.406672 12.499963 21.506114 37.150602 67.224466
2025-11-09 2.558573 4.285987 7.150260 12.348748 21.780118 38.615062 71.957598
2025-11-16 2.364121 4.040141 6.880021 12.155678 21.973443 39.977754 76.712582
2025-11-23 2.181941 3.800277 6.599530 11.916669 22.055493 41.137326 81.203723
2025-11-30 2.128536 3.782684 6.707236 12.395632 23.528370 45.072007 91.726500
2025-12-07 2.030002 3.674697 6.641514 12.539289 24.362223 47.838216 100.157324
2025-12-14 1.916347 3.529289 6.494062 12.509698 24.844666 49.940439 107.412183
2025-12-21 1.797749 3.365105 6.297674 12.364379 25.073787 51.536749 113.734646
2025-12-28 1.756552 3.345656 6.376004 12.776860 26.499787 55.796476 126.622146
2026-01-04 1.706005 3.303685 6.406210 13.091429 27.745483 59.792159 139.403901
2026-01-11 1.672392 3.292476 6.495971 13.537654 29.320093 64.679654 154.967155
2026-01-18 1.559722 3.112860 6.230371 13.197343 29.103975 65.468652 160.482543
2026-01-25 1.472067 2.978464 6.048076 13.023296 29.249147 67.109550 168.368385